As the Seattle Mariners gear up for the MLB Winter Meetings, questions surrounding their disappointing 2024 season remain at the forefront. New manager Dan Wilson guided a late-season offensive resurgence, but whether that improvement was sustainable or fleeting remains to be seen.
Key Offseason Dilemma: To Trade or Not to Trade
One of the most pressing questions for the Mariners is whether they’ll need to part with a prized starting pitcher to improve their lineup. Publicly, the organization has maintained that trading stars like Luis Castillo, Logan Gilbert, George Kirby, Bryce Miller, or Bryan Woo is not their preferred course of action.
President of Baseball Operations Jerry Dipoto has labeled trading a starting pitcher as a “Plan Z” option, emphasizing confidence in the offensive strides made during Wilson’s 21-13 finish to the season. The late-season surge saw the Mariners rank third in MLB in wRC+ (125) and fourth in runs scored (5.1 per game).
Still, with a two-year playoff drought and a limited budget, the Mariners might have no choice but to reconsider if the right offer emerges.
Offensive Needs and Limited Resources
Seattle’s offseason priorities include bolstering the infield, particularly at third and first base. The Mariners have been linked to Phillies All-Star Alec Bohm and Cubs second baseman Nico Hoerner, but their trade demands—major league-ready talent like Gilbert or Kirby—have been a sticking point.
Free-agent targets Justin Turner and Carlos Santana are being considered for first base/DH roles, while internal candidates like Dylan Moore and Ryan Bliss could see extended time at second base.
Financially, the Mariners are working with a projected payroll increase to $150–155 million, leaving only about $15 million for roster upgrades. Any significant move might require creative trade packages or salary-clearing deals involving players like Mitch Haniger or Mitch Garver.
Free Agency and International Wild Cards
Seattle’s only notable move thus far has been reacquiring infielder Austin Shenton, a potential bench option. However, the Winter Meetings could spark activity, especially once superstar free agent Juan Soto signs his expected megadeal, which could exceed $700 million.
Another potential game-changer is Japanese ace Roki Sasaki, who is expected to be posted soon. While the Dodgers and Padres are favorites to land the 22-year-old phenom, the Mariners are preparing a pitch to Sasaki, who would fit within their financial constraints as an international amateur signee.
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