Insider shares his verdict on the NFL playoff race as he outlines four things to watch ahead of Week 16 Browns vs. Texans’ Showdown…

If you were one of the fans eagerly anticipating Sunday’s Christmas Eve clash between the Houston Texans and the Cleveland Browns at NRG Stadium, the excitement was likely palpable as you clicked the “PURCHASE” button on your ticket app. The prospect of witnessing Deshaun Watson facing off against C.J. Stroud created a buzz – the Texans’ past versus their future. However, the script has taken an unexpected turn with Watson out for the season due to a shoulder injury, and Stroud sidelined for the second consecutive week due to a concussion suffered in Week 14 against the Jets. Enter Case Keenum versus Joe Flacco – a sequel at NRG Stadium.

Deshaun Watson, even when on the field, failed to impress this season, and C.J. Stroud’s absence has set the stage for Keenum and Flacco to take center stage in a game that mirrors a past matchup. In Week 16 of the 2014 season, the Texans, facing quarterback shortages, turned to Keenum, who led them to a surprising upset against Flacco’s Ravens, just as the Browns find themselves at 9-5 heading into this weekend’s game.

The parallels between the two matchups are striking, with the Texans once again underdogs, this time by 2.5 points. A victory this Sunday, akin to the 25-13 upset in 2014, could propel the Texans towards a playoff berth, whether as a wild card entry or even division champions.

As the stage is set for an intriguing Sunday at NRG Stadium, several factors add to the suspense, including the composition of the crowd. Browns fans are known for their willingness to travel, but will they do so on Christmas Eve? Are Texans fans sufficiently invested in the team to fill the stadium during a holiday weekend? Let’s delve into four key aspects to watch for:

1. NRG Energy The Texans have faced numerous home games this season against teams with strong traveling fan bases, such as the Steelers and Broncos. The Browns fall into the same category, with an arguably less stellar history. Many Browns fans might have purchased tickets with the hope of witnessing Watson’s return. Despite the increasing stakes, it seems the Texans may have to wait until 2024 for season ticket holders to refrain from selling their tickets before the season starts.

2. Texans Run Defense Remarkably, the Texans have transformed from having one of the league’s worst run defenses in 2022 to one of the best this season. The addition of Will Anderson and the emergence of Jonathan Greenard have played pivotal roles. Veterans Maliek Collins and Sheldon Rankins on the defensive line have provided a solid push up the middle. Last week, the Texans held Derrick Henry to a record low output, and they look to continue this success against a battered Browns offensive line.

3. Jonny Sack Jonathan Greenard has been a standout this season, with last week’s performance against the Titans being a testament to his prowess. Despite Will Anderson’s absence, Greenard showcased his skills with two sacks. With the Browns dealing with injuries to three different tackles, Greenard could capitalize on the opportunity, potentially catching up to franchise greats J.J. Watt and Mario Williams in single-season sack numbers.

4. Myles Garrett’s Dominance The biggest threat for the Browns and possibly the league in 2023 is defensive end Myles Garrett. With 14 sacks this season, Garrett has been a constant force, pressuring quarterbacks consistently. The Texans need to devise a strategy to contain Garrett and prevent him from singlehandedly turning the tide with forced turnovers. While the Texans defense appears capable against Flacco and the Browns, Garrett remains a formidable challenge.

In summary, what started as a highly anticipated quarterback showdown has evolved into a clash between Keenum and Flacco, reminiscent of a past upset. As the Texans aim to secure a playoff spot, the NRG Stadium atmosphere and key matchups, particularly against the formidable Myles Garrett, will determine the outcome of this Christmas Eve spectacle.

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